THIS IS THE END OF THE CRYPTO BULL MARKET — MY EXACT PLAN

📝 Video Summary

100XClub Market Evaluation

100XClub's overall evaluation of the market is bearish. The presenter believes the bull market is over and anticipates a significant pullback, potentially a bear market, in the coming months. He bases this on a key market structure shift: a daily close below a previous low, indicating a change in the market's dynamics from bullish to bearish. He expects a substantial drop in most tokens, possibly 60-70% over the next 3-6 months. However, he anticipates one last push upwards before the major downturn.

Main Topics Discussed

Market Structure Shift and Bearish Outlook

The core of the analysis revolves around a "market structure shift." The presenter identifies a daily close below a previous low as a critical signal of a trend change. This, coupled with other indicators, leads to the conclusion that the bull market has ended. He forecasts a major pullback, potentially leading to a bear market, with significant losses for many altcoins.

Trading Strategy and Positions

The presenter outlines his trading strategy, which involves:

• Longing: He plans to long during a potential market structure shift on the hourly and 4-hour charts. This will be the last opportunity in his opinion.
• Shorting: Once the market bounces into the daily OB (order block) around the $4 trillion mark, he intends to short the market heavily.
• Risk Management: He has closed all leverage positions and sold 50% of his spot holdings to manage risk. He has left his Bitcoin long position open, as he doesn't expect Bitcoin to drop drastically. He is using bots for trading in the choppy market.

Analysis of Previous Market Cycles

The presenter references past market cycles to support his bearish view. He notes that historical top indicators are pointing towards the end of the bull run. He acknowledges that some indicators, like the MVRBZ score, haven't confirmed the top, but he remains cautious.

Addressing Criticism

The presenter addresses criticism from other traders, specifically George from Crypto Banter, who accused him of being "irresponsibly long." The presenter clarifies his position, explains that he was long because of the risk/reward, and acknowledges his mistake of missing the daily close below.

Important Insights

• Key Indicator: The daily close below a previous low is a critical signal of a trend change.
• Market Expectations: Expect a major pullback of 30-70% on most tokens in the next 3-6 months.
• Bitcoin's Trajectory: Bitcoin is not expected to drop as much as other altcoins.
• Trading Strategy: The presenter is planning a short-term long before a full-scale short position.
• Emphasis on Risk Management: The presenter stresses the importance of capital preservation.
• Bots for Choppy Markets: The presenter is using bots which perform well in choppy markets.

Alerts

• TOTAL;{{price}} < 4T;100XClub: Look for short opportunity.